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March 13, 2025

SoFi Faces Major Setback, Marking Worst Drop in a Year

Hi Enthusiast,

SoFi Technologies (SOFI) experienced a significant sell-off on Monday, with its shares plunging by over 10%, positioning it for one of its worst trading days in the past year. The fintech company, which had seen strong momentum in previous months, was hit particularly hard, falling 2.27% to $11.65. Despite this sharp drop, there appears to be no major news impacting the business fundamentals of SoFi that would explain such a downturn.

Interestingly, the decline in SoFi's stock seems to follow a broader trend affecting companies that initially benefitted from the election of President Trump. SoFi was one of many stocks that surged after Trump's victory in November, as investors speculated that the company's prospects would improve under his administration. With expectations of less stringent regulatory oversight and the belief that student loan forgiveness would be less generous, SoFi was seen as a key beneficiary of these policy changes. Traders anticipated that these shifts would drive more borrowers to seek loans from fintech companies like SoFi.

However, despite no significant changes in the political or regulatory landscape, the enthusiasm that once fueled SoFi’s price growth appears to have faded. The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, which skyrocketed to a staggering 60x earnings in the wake of the election, has now come down dramatically. The post-election premium that propelled SoFi's valuation has all but evaporated, reflecting a sharp erosion of investor confidence and enthusiasm for the stock. While nothing in the news directly signals a shift in the company’s outlook, the rapid decline in sentiment highlights a challenging period for SoFi and other similar stocks that were once buoyed by the Trump-era optimism.

Big Bank Shares Face Pressure Amid Rising Recession Fears

The financial sector has experienced a dramatic shift, with major bank stocks plunging late Monday afternoon as recession concerns take center stage. Leading the downturn, Morgan Stanley shares fell by 6.4%, settling at $111.57, while other industry giants such as Wells Fargo, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America also saw notable declines. Each of these institutions faced drops ranging from 0.1% to nearly 2%, contributing to the broader market's struggles.

The trigger for this significant sell-off appears to be recent comments from former President Trump, who spoke to Fox News about the U.S. economy being in a "period of transition." His remarks reignited fears about the ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariff policies, which have raised concerns about an impending economic slowdown. The sharp drop in the financial sector has erased all the gains the XLF SPDR Financial ETF had accumulated earlier this year, leaving it slightly in the red.

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Financial stocks had a solid start to 2024, but they have taken a serious hit in recent weeks.

Last week, the sector experienced one of its worst days since the 2023 banking crisis, triggered by the collapse of SVB. To add to the distress, February’s jobs report revealed disappointing figures, with only 151,000 nonfarm payrolls added — falling short of expectations by 9,000. Given the cyclical nature of banks, any sign of economic weakness often raises alarm bells. Investors worry that such conditions could lead to an uptick in loan losses and a slowdown in lending activity, particularly if consumer spending and business growth falter.

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon had previously flagged rising unemployment as a major concern for the economy. In January, Dimon warned that increased joblessness, coupled with inflation, could trigger significant credit losses across both consumer and corporate sectors. Adding to the unease, Goldman Sachs downgraded its 2025 growth forecast from 2.4% to 1.7% just last week, citing concerns over tariff policies and a persistently tight labor market.

The current environment is testing investor confidence, with financials now facing heightened volatility amid broader market concerns. As recession fears mount, the outlook for the sector remains uncertain, leaving many questioning how much further the losses could go.

Sports Betting Stocks Struggle Amid Market Sell-Off

It turns out that bears aren’t fans of gambling. On Monday, stocks tied to sports betting took a serious hit as market concerns about a potential recession began to weigh heavily on investors. These stocks, which depend on consumers’ willingness to spend their disposable income on high-risk bets, were particularly vulnerable during what turned out to be the worst day for the stock market so far this year.

Both DraftKings (DKNG) and Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) saw significant losses, dropping more than the S&P 500 index despite the upcoming NCAA college basketball tournament, March Madness, set to kick off next week. The timing should have been ideal for these sports betting giants, as the frenzy of college basketball bets typically brings in a surge of revenue. However, the broader market sell-off outweighed the optimism tied to the season’s most popular sporting event.

The downturn wasn’t limited to just sports betting stocks. Other casino-related stocks like Caesars Entertainment (CZR) and MGM Resorts (MGM) also took a hit. Caesars saw a slight dip, while MGM experienced a more notable drop. These declines come as part of a larger trend where consumer-facing stocks, particularly those linked to discretionary spending, have come under pressure amid growing recession fears.

As the market grapples with concerns over economic uncertainty, sports betting and casino stocks are feeling the pinch. Despite the excitement around March Madness, the broader market climate of caution and skepticism about the future is keeping investors on edge. This downturn highlights how external economic factors can quickly overshadow even the most anticipated events in the betting world.

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Investing in private company securities is not suitable for all investors because it is highly speculative and involves a high degree of risk. It should only be considered a long-term investment. You must be prepared to withstand a total loss of your investment. Private company securities are also highly illiquid, and there is no guarantee that a market will develop for such securities.

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